signfan Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 5 hours ago, Strong Farmer said: Looks like a rain event on Wednesday. I guess that's our January thaw 😆. Not where it matters in cottage country and north. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MXZMike Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 4 hours ago, signfan said: Not where it matters in cottage country and north. Parry sound is showing rain on Tuesday / Wednesday but North of that snow hopefully the snow line moves more south. 100 rain in the city 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Strong Farmer Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 5 hours ago, signfan said: Not where it matters in cottage country and north. Depends model showing rain all up past north bay at moment. It's a Texas low so some serious warm moisture with it, that's going to push cold air more to north. Southern Ontario calling for 33.50 mm's of rain starting Tuesday evening after light snow. 🤦♂️ They get rain amounts right 90 percent of the time. Musoka airport they calling for 28 mm's of rain Tuesday night and another 10 mm's on Wednesday morning. Not much snow ahead of it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wrightonalan Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 28 minutes ago, Strong Farmer said: Depends model showing rain all up past north bay at moment. It's a Texas low so some serious warm moisture with it, that's going to push cold air more to north. Southern Ontario calling for 33.50 mm's of rain starting Tuesday evening after light snow. 🤦♂️ They get rain amounts right 90 percent of the time. Musoka airport they calling for 28 mm's of rain Tuesday night and another 10 mm's on Wednesday morning. Not much snow ahead of it. My parents use to say ,if you dont have anything good to say ,dont say anything lol 3 2 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Strong Farmer Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 6 minutes ago, wrightonalan said: My parents use to say ,if you dont have anything good to say ,dont say anything lol Back side of system looks great for snow though. Second half of January we should see some good snow falls. Texas low will fire up squalls after it passes on Wednesday 😎. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
signfan Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 hour ago, Strong Farmer said: Depends model showing rain all up past north bay at moment. It's a Texas low so some serious warm moisture with it, that's going to push cold air more to north. Southern Ontario calling for 33.50 mm's of rain starting Tuesday evening after light snow. 🤦♂️ They get rain amounts right 90 percent of the time. Musoka airport they calling for 28 mm's of rain Tuesday night and another 10 mm's on Wednesday morning. Not much snow ahead of it. I'll still take it. Right now, we have everything to gain and quite literally nothing to loose. There will be a snow line somewhere and north of it trails will opening. This storm is hitting a large portion of Ontario and Quebec. Never count your chickens before they hatch, but this is better than what we've had the past month if the forecast is even 50% correct. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Re:Leaf Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 The line might be Trout Creek. North of there will be / might be snow and south of Trout Creek will be / might be rain and snow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stoney Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Just looking at Dorset right now Mon night wil be -4 Tues is high of 0 Tues night is -4 Wed will be 0 as well Tues 5 to 10mm of rain and 10cm of snow will hopefully be more snow and less rain. With snow almost everyday after this and double digit lows at night. Looking promising I’d say. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RAMSOMAIR Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Not to be pessimistic, look at the same forecast tomorrow! I looked a Sequin yesterday and almost 100cms of snow total in 14 day forecast. Looked this morning and now 1/2 that amount lol. They have no idea. Hope we get something though Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stoney Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Just took a snap shot, let’s see what it looks like tomorrow! Tues and Wed already changed….lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scottyr Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 There snow forecasted just about every day after Tuesday. I am going to go out on a limb and say that there will be trails open south of Muskoka before north of North Bay just because the areas south of Barrie only need a foot of snow to get across the farmers fields. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Muskoka Man Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 still jack here in port sydney ,wet snow or drizzle this wont help.feel sorry for the Ontario businesses that rely on snow for there livelihood Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Muskoka Man Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 this looks like a start for the elk lake area 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stoney Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 2 hours ago, stoney said: Just took a snap shot, let’s see what it looks like tomorrow! Tues and Wed already changed….lol Update, 5 less mm of rain and more snow Heading in the right direction…for now!! lol Okay, I’ll stop with the update, see how things look in 24 hours and more importantly in 48 to 72 hours. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LuvMyViper Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 The forecast is all over the place.. now up to 20cm snow for Kitchener 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RAMSOMAIR Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 They have no idea. Throwing darts at the board. If you listen to all the reports Ontario will get 200cms lol. Hopefully we get it!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Strong Farmer Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 4 hours ago, stoney said: Just took a snap shot, let’s see what it looks like tomorrow! Tues and Wed already changed….lol Dorset in tall pines system seems to benefit from higher elevation just like hailburton forest. Seen rain down town hailburton before and forest is getting only wet snow. Cross our fingers this time both should get snow hopefully 😎. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stoney Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Yes, Dorset area has always had its own little eco system bubble, just like some parts of the forest. Some trails are forgiving not needing a ton of snow, others not so much, and not a lot of roads to run….plus TP and ASC do a great job! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stoney Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 2 hours ago, RAMSOMAIR said: They have no idea. Throwing darts at the board. If you listen to all the reports Ontario will get 200cms lol. Hopefully we get it!! The system clearly will be border line, just need to determine where the rain/snow line will be…..perhaps 118, hopefully south of that, we’ll see. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Strong Farmer Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 31 minutes ago, stoney said: The system clearly will be border line, just need to determine where the rain/snow line will be…..perhaps 118, hopefully south of that, we’ll see. Going east now. Must of ssnow will miss Ontario and go into Quebec. Northern Ontario won't get much from this system. Eastern Ontario has a chance for big snow falls if rain don't follow too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsedtoSkidoo Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 The system is coming up from Texas and heading straight into ontario. The temps and wind systems will either push it north or south but they dont really know until the day before. Will see. Doesnt really affect us in Muskoka as the swamps, lakes etc. need freezing temps to do anything but every bit helps. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsedtoSkidoo Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 11 hours ago, Strong Farmer said: Going east now. Must of ssnow will miss Ontario and go into Quebec. Northern Ontario won't get much from this system. Eastern Ontario has a chance for big snow falls if rain don't follow too. This happens more often than not with this type of system. Buffalo will get smoked I think Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LuvMyViper Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 TWN has increased snow predictions is 20-25cm.. The next model run will be interesting 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve F6 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 I've been using an app from buffalo channel 4 wivb for 24hr radar lately. Usually pretty accurate. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spiderman Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 It will be what it will be. So far - weather has sucked ass. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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