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We got 10-15cm in Orillia / Kawarthas. All gone this morning from rain. Maybe 1cm left. Hopefully cold comes and then more anow. 
 

further north got less rain most likely so faired better I would think. 

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2 minutes ago, Rich Saul said:

About 8 inches between lsp and whitney..

Plus 2 now with light drizzle. 

Well, that's a start.  Thanks for the update.

 

Anyone in North Bay or Sudbury?  How about Stonecliffe?

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About 6 inches in sudbury and still snowing

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Baysville webcam - looking pretty wet.

The live cam on Kawagama shows snow, but very wet.

Headed down to -9 tonight, so all that moisture will start to freeze up, looks to still be staying south of 0 degrees for the next little while too.

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I'd say northern Haliburton is sitting at 4-5" now that it's all packed down from the rain.

Wouldn't be shocked if Haliburton Forest opens limited this weekend. 🤨

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We got about 5” of snow on Lake Nosbonsing, near North Bay.

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Another storm is heading our way :)

 

 

⚠️ Get Your Shovels, Southern Ontario! The First Major Snowstorm of the Season Is on the Way This Weekend ❄️

📅 Friday, January 12 - Sunday, January 14, 2024

🔗 https://instantweatherinc.com/ontario/forecast/2024/1/10/snowstorm-preview

——

Confidence is growing in a strong system set to sweep across Southern Ontario starting Friday and persisting throughout the weekend. In contrast to previous weather systems, this one looks likely to keep most of the region on the snowy side, leading to widespread and substantial snowfall.

Although there's always a chance for last-minute changes, it's nearly certain that parts of Southern Ontario are in for a heavy snowfall this weekend. The onset is expected sometime Friday afternoon, continuing into Saturday. 

We're still finalizing the exact details, but a more detailed preliminary forecast will be available later today.

Currently, we anticipate general snowfall totals in the range of 20-30cm across a broad area of Southern Ontario, extending from the Southwest through the Greater Toronto Area and into Central/Eastern Ontario. 

Almost everyone in these regions should brace for significant snowfall. In some localities, particularly around Lake Huron and Georgian Bay, totals could surpass 30cm, boosted by lake-enhanced snowfall.

The combination of intense snow and potentially strong, damaging wind gusts of 70-90km/h could lead to complete whiteouts. We can't discount the possibility of blizzard conditions, especially in Southwestern Ontario.

The main area of uncertainty lies along the Lake Ontario shoreline and in the Niagara region. Some forecasts suggest a brief switch to rain overnight on Friday, followed by a return to snow on Saturday. 

This could result in lower snowfall amounts near the shoreline, heavily dependent on the storm's exact path. The latest data shows a trend towards a westward path, which could introduce warmer air into the region.

Another aspect we're watching closely is the potential for significant lake effect snow following the storm, starting Sunday and possibly extending into the week. This could lead to remarkable snowfall accumulations in typical snowbelt areas such as Grey-Bruce, Simcoe County, Muskoka, and Parry Sound. 

By week's end, some of these areas might be measuring the snow in FEET (1 ft = 30cm).

In summary, the upcoming week promises to be a hectic one, but we're prepared and will keep you updated with in-depth information around the clock. Stay tuned!

 

 

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Not a believer whatsoever! We were "forecasted" to get 15-30cms in Parry Sound and we got maybe 10cms. Then the rain overnight turned that into 4cms. The weather people don't have a clue and create such hype it quite frankly is getting old. Their track record is abysmal and I give it no merit at all anymore. Don't get me wrong, I hope it happens but not planning on it at. Sad that these idiots can't be held accountable. They have billions of dollars, maybe trillions of dollars of satellite equipment and forecasting tools they didn't have 30 years ago and aren't even remotely close anymore.

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Define "southern ontario" is my question......snow is only really good north of us....

Based on the forecast for a few locations, it seems to be greater amounts more south.

But, better than nothing anywhere! 

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I intend to not shovel a flake of snow this winter.

So far so good.

And boy am I glad we decided against doing a rink this year - best decision I've made in a long time.

 

 

 

 

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port Sydney today 

some cold coming may help 

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25 minutes ago, Muskoka Man said:

port Sydney today 

some cold coming may help 

PXL_20240110_220905485.NIGHT.RAW-01.COVER.jpg

So that 3 to 4 has to be pretty well packed and full of moisture - add some nice cold temps and could be great base!

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Friday Night storm update.  

 

❄️ SNOWSTORM PREVIEW:

 

Widespread Significant Snowfall of Up to 30cm on the Way for Most of Southern & Northeastern Ontario

📅 Friday, January 12 - Saturday, January 13, 2024

——

After reviewing the latest model data from this evening, it appears increasingly likely that Southern Ontario will experience its first widespread significant snowstorm of the season starting Friday.

We'll publish a detailed forecast article in the morning. For now, here's an early look at the forecast maps based on this evening's model runs. Remember, this forecast is preliminary, as the storm is still about 36 hours away. Although there's time for model adjustments, any changes should be minor given the high confidence in this event.

Before Friday's main event, a weaker system will pass through Southern Ontario on Thursday morning and afternoon. While significant accumulation isn't expected, a few centimetres may cover Central and Southwestern Ontario, including the Greater Toronto Area. Lake enhancement east of Lake Huron could increase totals to 3-6cm in the Owen Sound to London corridor, tapering off by late afternoon.

The main storm is expected to start between 2-5 PM on Friday, beginning in Extreme Southwestern Ontario. Initial bands could bring heavy snowfall, with rates of 5-10cm per hour, and the potential for thundersnow, a phenomenon we haven't seen since last winter's major blizzard.

Strong wind gusts of 60-80km/h, locally reaching up to 90km/h, will likely create treacherous driving conditions. Areas might experience localized blizzard conditions, especially in Southwestern Ontario, the Golden Horseshoe, and parts of Central Ontario.

These heavy snowfall rates will move through Southwestern Ontario, affecting London, Kitchener, and Hamilton by early evening. The Greater Toronto Area will experience this intense snow later in the evening, eventually spreading northeast to Central and Eastern Ontario, continuing overnight into early Saturday.

While the heaviest snowfall will be brief, moderate snow will persist behind the initial band throughout the night into Saturday. Around the Lake Ontario and Erie shorelines, a brief surge of warmer air Friday night into Saturday morning could lead to a temporary changeover to rain, potentially reducing snowfall totals in the Niagara region and parts of the Greater Toronto Area near the lakeshore.

A sharp cooldown early Saturday morning will bring temperatures back below freezing, switching precipitation back to snow and creating a risk of flash freezing. Icy road conditions are likely on Saturday morning.

By Saturday's end, most of Southern Ontario, excluding Deep Southwestern Ontario and the Niagara region, can expect 15-30cm of snow. The Lake Erie shoreline and Niagara region are projected to receive 5-15cm, while the Greater Toronto Area could see 10-20cm, with higher amounts further from the lakes. 

This event will also affect Northeastern Ontario with over 20cm of snow on tap for Sudbury, North Bay and Temiskaming Shores starting late Friday evening and continuing through Saturday.

As the system exits, lake effect snow will intensify late Saturday around Lake Huron and Georgian Bay, with snow squalls likely into next week. This could result in substantial snowfall over the week in areas like Goderich, Kincardine, Hanover, Owen Sound, Wiarton, Barrie, Orillia, Midland, Bracebridge, Huntsville, Parry Sound, Britt and Sundridge

We'll provide more details in our full forecast article on Thursday morning and a final forecast with precise totals either Thursday evening or Friday morning.

- Brennen

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